Green Paper Discussion (from 24th March, 2025)

ECHR analysis 2018

The results forecast that child poverty will increase substantially by 2021/22 as a result of the tax and welfare reforms between 2010 and 2017, resulting in around 1.5 million extra children being in poverty.

1.5 million extra children in poverty!

• Lone parents who are FRS core disabled with at least one disabled child fare even worse on average, losing almost three out of every 10 pounds of their net income. In cash terms, their average losses are almost £10,000 per year.

• Couples with children in a similar position (at least one FRS core disabled adult, and at least one disabled child) also experience substantial average losses: slightly under one in every five pounds of net income – an average cash loss of almost £8,000 per year.

• Households with a disability score of 6 or more in England lose an average of £520 per year from the DLA–PIP reassessment process, and around £1,200 from the five reforms modelled here.

Analysis of the reforms by individual disability ‘score’ and age group shows that average losses from the reforms are greater for disabled adults in the 18–44 age group than for older adults; over-75s with a disability score of 6 or more lose slightly over £600 on average from the reforms, compared with almost £5,400 for under-25s in the same group.

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I googled FRS and found this on GOV.UK

Dataset: Family Resources Survey (Adult, Child, Individual)

Field: Disability Status of the Individual

Description

Whether the individual has a disability or not.

The definition of disability used in the FRS publication is consistent with the core definition of disability under the Equality Act 2010. A person is considered to have a disability if they "have a physical or mental impairment that has a 'substantial' and 'long-term' negative effect on their ability to do normal daily activities". Where by 'substantial' means more than minor or trivial, and 'long-term' means 12 months or more. Some individuals classified as disabled and having rights under the Equality Act 2010 are not captured by this definition:

• People with a long-standing illness or disability who would experience substantial difficulties without medication or treatment
• People who have been diagnosed with cancer, HIV infection or multiple sclerosis but who are not currently experiencing difficulties with their day-to-day activities
• People with progressive conditions, where the effect of the impairment does not yet impede their lives
• People who were disabled in the past but are no longer limited in their daily lives

Classification

Applicable to: all individuals.

• Not a disabled child / adult / person
• Disabled child / adult / person

Total number of categories: 2

Quality Statement

The basis of identifying people with a disability has changed over time:

• From 2002-03 to 2003-04 a person with a disability was an individual who reported substantial difficulties across eight areas of life
• From 2004-05 to 2011-12 a person with a disability was an individual who reported substantial difficulties across nine areas of life
• From 2012-13 onwards a person with a disability was an individual who reported any physical or mental health condition(s) or illness(es) that last or are expected to last 12 months or more, and which limit their ability to carry out day-to-day activities a little, or a lot. The FRS disability questions were revised to reflect new harmonised standards

Comparisons over time should be made with caution, as they may be affected by the change in the definition of disability and individuals might have different interpretations of particular health conditions or FRS question wording.